Tie vs. Orita · Live client data · Feb–Mar 2026

We beat Orita
on Orita's own best segment.

We took Caraway's Orita Top 5% — the highest-value cohort Orita's model could surface — and layered Tie Predict's purchase score on top. The buyers were hiding in plain sight. Tie found them, cut a third of the wasted sends, and lifted the placed-order rate by up to 40%.

+33.3%

Placed-order rate when Tie 9+ filters Orita's Top 5% — March Meal Planning campaign

34%

Fewer emails sent at the same revenue — less fatigue, healthier domain

+21%

Avg. placed-order lift from Tie 7+ across 5 Caraway campaigns

An honest test, run on the competitor's turf.

No straw man. Orita ranked Caraway's list and surfaced its Top 5% highest-value segment. We didn't replace it — we kept Orita's exact audience and asked Tie one question: of these, who's actually about to buy? Tie Predict's purchase score (7+, 8+, 9+) answered. Same campaign, same send, same pool. Only the intelligence changed.

1

Orita scores the list.

Its model ranks Caraway's known subscribers and exposes the Top 5% by predicted value.

2

Tie scores the same people.

Tie Predict assigns each a daily-refreshed purchase-intent score from 1B+ signals across the 280M-consumer identity graph — not just Caraway's own list history.

3

Filter, then send.

Keep only Orita's Top 5% who also clear Tie 7+ / 8+ / 9+. Compare placed-order rate against Orita's segment alone.

4

Hold everything else constant.

Identical creative, identical timing, identical Klaviyo flow. The only variable is whether Tie's intelligence is in the loop.

Campaign: March Meal Planning · 03.01.26

Orita: Top 5%Orita's best, unfiltered186,495
+ Tie Purchase 7+88.8% of sends kept165,658
+ Tie Purchase 8+82.1% of sends kept153,030
+ Tie Purchase 9+68.5% of sends kept127,770
23 → 23 → 23 → 21 ordersAudience shrinks 31%. The buyers stay.

The tighter the Tie filters, the sharper the buyers.

Placed-order rate isn't flat across Tie's score tiers — it climbs. Every notch tighter on Tie Predict concentrates the audience toward genuine purchase intent. On Orita's own Top 5%, layering Tie 9+ lifted the placed-order rate +33% on one campaign and +40% on the next.

Placed-order rate lift vs. Orita Top 5% alone

Each line = one Caraway campaign. Baseline (0%) = Orita's Top 5% segment, unfiltered.

March Meal PlanningFree Shipping Resend
0%+10%+20%+30%+40%Orita Top 5%+ Tie 7++ Tie 8++ Tie 9++12.6%+21.9%+33.3%+19.2%+39.9%

Same revenue. A third fewer sends.

This is the part Orita alone can't give you. Tie didn't just raise the conversion rate — it got there while removing tens of thousands of low-intent sends. The orders stayed. The revenue held. The list got a rest, and the sending domain got healthier. Higher yield and lower load.

March Meal Planning · Tie 9+

58,725 fewer emails. Revenue held at 97%.

Send volume kept68.5%
Revenue retained96.7%
−31.5%sends vs. Orita Top 5% (186,495 → 127,770)
+33.3%placed-order rate, same campaign

Free Shipping Resend · Tie 9+

57,131 fewer emails. Revenue held at 94%.

Send volume kept66.3%
Revenue retained93.8%
−33.7%sends vs. Orita Top 5% (169,732 → 112,601)
+39.9%placed-order rate, same campaign

Two campaigns, line by line.

No modeling, no projections. These are the real Klaviyo numbers pulled from Caraway's account. Orita's Top 5% is the baseline row; each Tie tier is the same segment, filtered.

March Meal Planning03.01.26 · AM send
SegmentSendsOrdersRevenuePO-rate lift
ORITATop 5%186,49523$6,058—
TIETop 5% + Purchase 7+165,65823$6,058+12.6%
TIETop 5% + Purchase 8+153,03023$6,058+21.9%
TIETop 5% + Purchase 9+127,77021$5,859+33.3%
+33.3%placed-order rate at Tie 9+ — sending 31% fewer emails and keeping 21 of 23 orders.
Free Shipping Resend 203.01.26 · AM send
SegmentSendsOrdersRevenuePO-rate lift
ORITATop 5%186,49523$6,058—
TIETop 5% + Purchase 7+165,65823$6,058+12.6%
TIETop 5% + Purchase 8+153,03023$6,058+21.9%
TIETop 5% + Purchase 9+127,77021$5,859+33.3%
+39.9%placed-order rate at Tie 9+ — 34% fewer emails, 26 of 28 orders, 94% of revenue intact.

The scoring engine concentrates revenue across the book.

Caraway is the clean Orita head-to-head — but the same purchase score does the same work everywhere it runs. Across other accounts, the highest Tie purchase tiers consistently carry the revenue, on a fraction of the sends.

Sharper Image

Revenue by sending segment · one weekly window (Feb 27 – Mar 3)

Tie Purchase 10+$56,844
1 Year Buyers$56,844
Tie Purchase 9$13,125
Engaged 30 Day$10,078

Tie's top purchase tier is the single largest revenue segment in the report — and opens at 50.0% vs. 43.0% for the engaged list.

Confidential DTC account

Revenue by segment · weekly window (Feb 26 – Mar 3)

Tie 9+ Purchase$187,253
Email Engaged L7$148,342
Tie 7+ Open$94,050

Tie 9+ drove the most revenue and the highest placed-order rate (0.06%) of any segment — from fewer than half the recipients of the engaged list. Campaign-level incremental Tie lift logged at $5K–$27K per send, ~$72K across five campaigns.

Orita reads the past. Tie reads intent.

Both tools score. The difference is what they can see. Orita ranks a shopper against the brand's own list behavior — backward-looking, bounded by the data the brand already has. Tie Predict scores the same people against 1B+ live signals on a 280M-consumer identity graph, daily-refreshed, forward-looking — including shoppers the brand's list has never even seen engage.

Tie Predict

Forward-looking intent

  • 1B+ behavioral, demographic & intent signals across a 280M-consumer identity graph
  • Scores who's about to buy — including shoppers new to the list
  • Daily-refreshed open / click / purchase scores synced as Klaviyo profile properties
  • Cross-device, cross-session continuity from the identity layer
  • One platform — ID, scoring, inbox placement & deliverability on a single graph
vs

Orita

Backward-looking segmentation

  • Scores against the brand's own list data only — no external signal
  • Ranks on past engagement — can't see a buyer who hasn't acted yet
  • Blind to shoppers new to the list or active off-platform
  • A single-purpose scoring tool — no ID, inbox or deliverability layer
  • Generally priced as a premium standalone for one job

Tie doesn't have to replace Orita to win. It made Orita's best segment sharper — and that's the most honest proof of all.

For brands already on Orita and wary of ripping it out, this is the additive play: keep the segmentation, add the intelligence. Mariners Learning System runs both side by side — 84% YoY BFCM growth.

The buyers were always there. Tie finds them.

Orita ranked the segment. Tie found the conversions inside it — lifting the placed-order rate up to 40% while cutting a third of the wasted sends. Same list. Same flows. Sharper intelligence.

+33–40%

placed-order rate lift at Tie 9+, on Orita's own Top 5%

−31–34%

fewer emails sent at ~95% revenue retention

5

Caraway campaigns, +21% avg. at Tie 7+