Engagement Scoring and Send Decisioning

Your list keeps growing. Revenue isn't keeping pace.

Engagement-based segments describe past behavior. They can't tell you who's ready today, so sends go wide and revenue per send drops. Tie tells you who's ready now.

Predict
Open ScoreOpen an email in the next 7 days?Click ScoreClick an email in the next 7 days?Purchase ScoreBuy via email in the next 7 days?Scored daily for every profile — send to real intent, cut wasted volume.

Campaign revenue prediction

Connect an email campaign draft and Tie will predict its performance and suggest optimizations.

Optimize for
Summer Sale Teaser98,500 recipients
Predicted revenue / recipient
$3.48
Predicted open rate
50%
Predicted click rate
7.9%
Predicted total revenue
$343k
Kyle
Kyle’s read
How to optimize for purchases

Target Purchase Score of 9–10 and pair with a time-bound offer to convert intent. Tie estimates ~9.4k purchase-ready profiles; layering an exclusion of recent buyers protects margin while maximizing net-new revenue.

Intent scored daily

Purchase, open, and click scores for every shopper, updated once a day

More revenue, fewer sends

The same list, working harder, without adding volume

Resurface dormant shoppers

Profiles you'd written off rejoin campaigns when intent returns

Stay in control

You decide the thresholds for who does and doesn't receive messages

Your best openers aren't the same as your best buyers.

Opens and clicks record what someone did inside your email. They tell you nothing about the shopper who is showing high on-site intent after weeks of dormancy.

Pick the outcome you're optimizing for

Predict scores

Purchase intent · 48,213 profiles · refreshed 06:04
Open intent · 48,213 profiles · refreshed 06:04
Click intent · 48,213 profiles · refreshed 06:04
Hold list · scores 1–3 · refreshed 06:04
Optimize for
Purchase 8–106,410+9.1%
Predicted revenue · 7 days$48,310+12%
Avg. purchase score5.8+0.3
Open 7–1019,340+4.2%
Expected open rate61%vs 34% list avg
Avg. open score6.4+0.2
Click 7–109,870+6.8%
Expected CTR7.9%vs 2.1% list avg
Avg. click score4.9+0.4
Held today31,206score ≤ 3
Sends saved this month412,900volume
Surfaced from suppression1,284browsing again
ShopperLast seenPurchaseOpenClickSegment
MK
Maya KowalskiReturning · 4 orders
2 min ago · cart987Ready to buy
JR
Jordan ReyesReturning · 2 orders
14 min ago · PDP886Ready to buy
SO
Sam OrtegaNew · resolved by Tie ID
1 hr ago · search797Open likely
SP
Sana PatelReturning · 7 orders
3 hr ago · cart775Open likely
DN
Dani NguyenReturning · 1 order
Yesterday564Nurture
TB
Theo BrandtReturning · 1 order
12 days ago321Held
AL
Anna LindqvistReturning · 1 order
6 days ago232Held

The same decisions. Two ways to make them.

30, 60 and 90-day segments tell you who engaged in the past. They miss the anonymous subscriber browsing your site on their phone right now, or the one who went quiet on email but has visited three times this week.

The job

Done by hand

With Tie

Who gets the next campaign?

Static opens and click rules that focus on engagement, not intent

A 1-10 purchase score for every shopper profile, refreshed every day

Who should I exclude from this send?

Hold back shoppers who haven't engaged in the last 30/60/90 days

Shoppers unlikely to purchase or engage, based on signals your ESP can't see

Are there suppressed shoppers I can reactivate?

Not done. Too risky to unsuppress and risk an unsubscribe or spam complaint

Suppressed profiles are scored in the same way as active ones. Unsuppress when intent spikes

How do I send more relevant messages?

Send broad campaigns based on past product views, or flows limited to basic event triggers

Add shoppers to flows as soon as they meet specific demographic, intent, or behavioral criteria

Knowing who's ready to buy is only half the battle.

You still need to make sure your messages are seen. Tie helps your messages land in the Primary inbox so that your hard work doesn't fall short at the goal line.

Click After Priority
Open rate42%61%+45%
Click rate2.1%3.0%+45%
Revenue per send$2.63$3.87+47%
Inbox
Search mail
Primary 12Promotions 47Social 3
LS
Lakeside OutletLAST CHANCE: 40% off everythingEnds tonight. Don't miss out on…
7:02 AM
GC
Gadget CentralWeekly deals roundupTop picks under $50…
6:48 AM
TA
TravelAwayFlash sale: 3 days onlyBook by Friday and save…
6:40 AM
Below the fold · 44 more promotions
Your purchase-ready send, buried under 44 promotionsB
Beekman 1802Fall launch is hereTwenty new arrivals, one weekend. Members get first look…
6:31 AMUnopened
PB
Pantry BoxYour weekly picksFresh this week…
6:20 AM
Primary 13Promotions 46Social 3
Same send, now in PrimaryB
Beekman 1802Fall launch is hereTwenty new arrivals, one weekend. Members get first look…
6:31 AMOpened 6:34 AM
JR
Jordan ReyesRe: dinner Friday?Works for me, see you at 7…
6:12 AM
MD
Maya DiazPhotos from the weekendFinally uploaded them, link inside…
Yesterday
HR
Hudson RailYour ticket for Sept 12Seat 14A · Boarding at 08:40…
Yesterday
AC
Ana CostaNotes from TuesdayAttached, let me know…
Yesterday
Ready to buy is half of it. Predict finds the shoppers most likely to purchase. Priority makes sure the email they get is actually seen.

From visit to send in three steps.

Score every profile

Purchase, open and click, from on-site behavior and demographic and intent signals your ESP can't see.

Set the send criteria

Follow Tie's suggestions around who to send to and exclude, or create your own rules.

Ensure messages get seen

Tie Priority tweaks your emails behind the scenes so your messages land in the Primary inbox.

Everything Tie does.

Tie's product suite is designed to help you recognize who's interested in your brand, engage with high-intent shoppers, and make sure your messages to those shoppers are seen.

Tie ID

Recognize new and returning shoppers, building complete profiles to power better messages, ads, and onsite experiences.

Tie Predict

Score your entire list with daily likelihoods to open, click and purchase, generating more revenue with fewer messages.

Tie Priority

Land emails in the Primary inbox where shoppers will see them, and automatically warm sending domains if reputation slips.

“Tie has played a big part in bringing our email program into the modern age and giving us the ability to work leaner while feeling far more confident in our sends.”

Michael Johnston

Michael Johnston

Senior Email Marketing Manager, Sharper Image

Read the Sharper Image story →

+10%

Revenue per campaign

+41%

Revenue per recipient

+36%

Click-through rate

Holdout-tested on Sharper Image's own data. No projections.

Create segment · Ready to buy this weekKlaviyoBloomreachBrazesoon
Definition
Properties about someonepurchase_scoreis at least8
and
Properties about someoneopen_scoreis at least6
and
What someone has donePlaced Orderzero timeslast 7 days
Estimated size6,4106,4186,433 profiles
Create segment
Use it inCampaign · Fall launchFlow · Ready-to-buy nudgeA/B vs. Engaged 90d

Built to fit into your existing stack.

Scores are properties. Slot them into your existing retention strategy without missing a beat.

Ready-to-buy nudge

purchase ≥ 8 · no order in 7 d

A flow that fires the day a shopper's score crosses 8, before your next campaign goes out.

Winback on rising intent

purchase rising 3 days

Dormant subscribers re-enter a flow when their score climbs, not when a 90-day timer expires.

Protect deliverability

exclude purchase ≤ 3

Hold low-intent profiles out of promotional sends so volume never outruns reputation.

Common questions

Straight answers on how Predict fits next to your ESP, how it is measured and who it is built for.

All questions →

How is Predict different from my ESP's own predictive analytics?

Your ESP scores on what happens inside your ESP: engagement history from your list. Predict draws on 55+ signals from Tie's identity graph: on-site behavior your ESP never sees, cross-device browsing, anonymous visitors your ESP can't identify, and cross-client signals from across Tie's network. Predict can score a shopper who never opted into your list. Your ESP can't.

How often do scores refresh, and how fast is setup?

Scores refresh once a day, from the previous 24 hours of behavior. First-time visitors are scored in near-real time, in less than 15 min. Integration typically takes 24 to 48 hours from pixel install to first score sync, and onboarding is completed in the first week.

What happens to my suppression list?

Predict scores it too. Contacts who look dead in your ESP but are browsing your site on another device surface with high intent scores. Your team decides whether and how to re-engage them.

Is there a minimum list size?

Predict needs about 100,000 active email subscribers to start scoring. There is no traffic minimum: scores sharpen as your list and site activity grow.

Maya K. identified · score 9Jordan R. synced to KlaviyoSana P. landed in PrimaryDani N. ready to buy

See what Tie finds on your site.

A 20-minute walkthrough on your own traffic — positive ROI within 30 days.

Book a demoSee pricing